UK election polls 2023

In September 2023, 46 percent of British adults would vote for the Labour Party in a general election, compared with 24 percent who would vote for the Conservative Party. The ruling Conservatives trailed Labour in the polls throughout 2022, with a huge gap emerging in September, when Liz Truss came to power. Truss' short time as Prime Minister was widely seen as a disaster for the country and her party, and she was succeeded by Rishi Sunak as Prime Minister in October. Although Labour's lead has narrowed slightly since Sunak became Prime Minister, the Conservatives would lose the next general election based on these most recent polls.

Year of the three Prime Ministers - 2022

A series of self-inflicted blows saw the popularity of Boris Johnson ebb away in 2022. Following 'Partygate' and other scandals he was involved in, Johnson became more of a liability than an asset to his party, and several Tory MPs maneuvered against him. Although he survived a vote of no-confidence in June, his position became untenable by July, forcing his resignation. For the rest of the Summer, Johnson stayed on as Prime Minister, until the Conservatives elected Liz Truss as leader in September. Even by post-Brexit standards, Truss' time in office was very brief. Just 45 days after becoming Prime Minister, Truss resigned. The economic damage unleashed by her mini-budget was too severe for her to continue. In her place stepped Rishi Sunak, who became the third Prime Minister of 2022, and the fifth since the Brexit vote of 2016.

 Tough year ahead for Sunak - 2023

Although Sunak restored some degree of political stability to Britain after Truss, he also inherited a country facing a huge number of challenges. Throughout 2022, Britons consistently identified the Economy as one of the top three issues facing the country. High inflation, expressed most obviously in surging energy and food prices has caused a severe Cost of Living Crisis, responsible for the biggest fall in living standards in decades. Additionally, the UK's National Health Service (NHS) is facing one of its worst crises since its creation after World War Two. Staff shortages, along with increased demand for the service in the Winter have caused accident and emergency waiting times to reach intolerable levels. Outside of the country, the ongoing War in Ukraine is the biggest test of resolve in a generation for the UK and its NATO allies. A myriad of other issues will also test the caliber of the new Prime Minister. If they are successfully navigated, he may hope to win the next election on the horizon.

Voting intentions in a general election in the United Kingdom from July 2017 to September 2023

Characteristic	Conservatives	Labour	Liberal Democrats	UKIP	Green Party	Reform UK*
Sep 23	24%	46%	10%	0%	7%	6%
Aug 23	25%	47%	10%	0%	6%	7%
Jul 23	22%	47%	9%	0%	7%	9%
Jun 23	26%	42%	11%	0%	8%	7%
May 23	26%	43%	10%	0%	7%	6%
Apr 23	27%	44%	9%	0%	7%	6%
Mar 23	23%	45%	10%	0%	7%	7%
Feb 23	24%	47%	10%	0%	6%	6%
Jan 23	25%	46%	9%	0%	6%	7%
Dec 22	24%	48%	9%	0%	6%	8%
Nov 22	24%	50%	9%	0%	5%	6%
Oct 22	22%	52%	9%	0%	6%	5%
Sep 22	29%	44%	10%	0%	7%	3%
Aug 22	33%	37%	11%	0%	8%	3%
Jul 22	29%	40%	15%	0%	6%	3%
Jun 22	33%	39%	10%	0%	6%	4%
May 22	35%	36%	10%	0%	8%	4%
Apr 22	33%	39%	9%	0%	8%	3%
Mar 22	35%	37%	7%	0%	8%	5%
Feb 22	32%	41%	10%	0%	6%	4%
Jan 22	28%	38%	10%	0%	7%	4%
Dec 21	33%	37%	9%	0%	7%	6%
Nov 21	35%	35%	8%	0%	10%	4%
Oct 21	37%	33%	9%	0%	10%	4%
Sep 21	33%	35%	10%	0%	9%	5%
Aug 21	40%	32%	9%	0%	8%	3%
Jul 21	39%	34%	8%	0%	9%	3%
Jun 21	46%	30%	6%	0%	9%	2%
May 21	45%	30%	7%	0%	8%	2%
Apr 21	42%	34%	7%	0%	6%	3%
Mar 21	45%	32%	6%	0%	7%	3%
Feb 21	41%	37%	6%	0%	6%	3%
Jan 21	39%	39%	6%	0%	6%	3%
Dec 20	38%	38%	6%	0%	5%	3%
Nov 20	35%	40%	7%	0%	4%	2%
Oct 20	41%	38%	5%	0%	6%	3%
Sep 20	40%	40%	6%	0%	4%	3%
Aug 20	42%	36%	8%	0%	5%	2%
Jul 20	46%	36%	5%	0%	3%	2%
Jun 20	45%	37%	6%	0%	4%	2%
May 20	48%	33%	6%	0%	5%	2%
Apr 20	53%	32%	5%	0%	3%	1%
Mar 20	52%	28%	8%	0%	5%	1%
Feb 20	49%	30%	8%	0%	4%	2%
Jan 20	49%	29%	10%	0%	4%	2%
Dec 19	43%	33%	13%	0%	4%	3%
Nov 19	38%	25%	16%	0%	5%	11%
Oct 19	35%	22%	20%	0%	6%	12%
Sep 19	35%	25%	16%	1%	7%	11%
Aug 19	31%	22%	21%	0%	7%	14%
Jul 19	24%	18%	19%	1%	10%	22%
Jun 19	18%	20%	20%	1%	9%	26%
May 19	24%	24%	16%	2%	7%	18%
Apr 19	36%	33%	11%	4%	4%	5%
Mar 19	40%	31%	11%	3%	4%	-
Feb 19	41%	34%	10%	4%	4%	-
Jan 19	39%	34%	11%	6%	4%	-
Dec 18	40%	38%	9%	4%	4%	-
Nov 18	41%	37%	8%	4%	4%	-
Oct 18	41%	37%	9%	4%	3%	-
Sep 18	39%	35%	11%	5%	4%	-
Aug 18	41%	38%	8%	6%	3%	-
Jul 18	41%	40%	9%	3%	2%	-
Jun 18	42%	39%	8%	3%	3%	-
May 18	43%	38%	9%	4%	2%	-
Apr 18	42%	41%	7%	4%	2%	-
Mar 18	41%	43%	7%	2%	2%	-
Feb 18	41%	42%	7%	4%	2%	-
Jan 18	40%	41%	9%	3%	5%	-
Dec 17	40%	41%	7%	3%	2%	-
Nov 17	40%	43%	7%	3%	2%	-
Oct 17	40%	42%	7%	4%	2%	-
Sep 17	41%	42%	7%	4%	2%	-
Aug 17	41%	42%	8%	4%	1%	-
Jul 17	38%	46%	6%	4%	1%	-

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Release date

September 2023

More information

Region

United Kingdom (Great Britain)

Survey time period

September 7-8, 2023

Number of respondents

2,107 respondents

Age group

18 years and older

Special properties

GB Adults

Method of interview

Online survey

Supplementary notes

Results have been weighted by likelihood to vote and excludes those who would not vote, don't know or refused.

* Reform UK were renamed in January 2021 and were known as the Brexit Party prior to this month.

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