Four scenarios on projected health impact of COVID-19 on the continent of Africa 2020

Different scenarios on the projected health impact of coronavirus in Africa by the end of pandemic in 2020

CharacteristicInfectedRequiring hospitalizationRequiring critical careDeaths
Scenario A 1,222.3 22.5 4.4 3.3
Scenario B 841.9 16 3.1 2.4
Scenario C 520.3 9.9 1.9 1.5
Scenario D 122.8 2.3 0.5 0.3
Download
Show detailed source information?
Register for free
Already a member?
Log in
Source

Use Ask Statista Research Service

Release date

April 2020

Region

Africa

Survey time period

March 25, 2020

Special properties

Simulations based off Imperial College Epidemiological Model

Supplementary notes

The sources explained the various scenarios as followed:

  1. Scenario A: Unmitigated (worst case) - no intervention.
  2. Scenario B: Mitigation using moderate social distancing - Optimal outcome when epidemic is mitigated through interventions to limit contacts in general population including social distancing (45% reduction in contact rate).
  3. Scenario C: Suppression using intense social distancing (1.6) – introduction of intense social distancing measures that reduce the contact rate in the general population by 75 per cent once the 1.6 deaths per 100,000 per week trigger is reached.
  4. Scenario D: Suppression using intense social distancing (0.2) – introduction of intense social distancing measures that reduce the contact rate in the general population by 75 per cent once the 0.2 deaths per 100,000 per week trigger is reached.

Projected health impact based on the Imperial College Epidemiological Model as at March 25, 2020.

Citation formats
Access all statistics starting from $2,388 USD yearly *

* For commercial use only

Basic Account

For single users
$0 USD
Always free
Access limited to Free Statistics. Premium Statistics are not included.
  • Free Statistics
Based on your interests

Starter Account

For single users
$199 USD
per month, billed annually 1
  • Free Statistics
  • Premium Statistics

Professional Account

For teams of up to 5 people
$1,299 USD
per month, billed annually 1
  • Free + Premium Statistics
  • Reports
  • Market Insights

1 All prices do not include sales tax. The account requires an annual contract and will renew after one year to the regular list price.

Leading companies trust Statista:
paypal google adobe pg samsung telekom
I think of Statista as Google for researchers. Statista provides you with the information you search for right away.
Dr. Horst Stipp

Dr. Horst Stipp
EVP, Research & Innovation, Advertising Research Foundation

Statistics on " Regional overview of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic 2019-20 "

Other statistics that may interest you Regional overview of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic 2019-20

Global overview

3

Europe

8

Asia

8

The Americas

8

Eastern Mediterranean and Africa

8

Further related statistics

10

Discover Statista

Need help with using Statista for your research? Tutorials and first steps
Do you have any questions about our business solutions?

We provide you with detailed information about our Professional Account.

Access all statistics starting from $2,388 USD yearly *

* For commercial use only

Basic Account

For single users
$0 USD
Always free
Access limited to Free Statistics. Premium Statistics are not included.
  • Free Statistics
Based on your interests

Starter Account

For single users
$199 USD
per month, billed annually 1
  • Free Statistics
  • Premium Statistics

Professional Account

For teams of up to 5 people
$1,299 USD
per month, billed annually 1
  • Free + Premium Statistics
  • Reports
  • Market Insights

1 All prices do not include sales tax. The account requires an annual contract and will renew after one year to the regular list price.

Learn more about how Statista can support your business.