Four scenarios on projected health impact of COVID-19 on the continent of Africa 2020
The coronavirus would lead to between 330,000 or more than three million deaths on the African continent. This based on predictions made in March 2020, based on how local governments would respond in the pandemic's early days and whether social distancing was going to be in place or not. For Africa, various scenarios were projected, from scenario A being the worst to scenario D having the least impact on the health of the African citizens. Whenever no intervention took place, it was estimated that over 1.2 billion people would have been infected, of which 22.5 million were hospitalized and over three million would become a casualty. As of May 2020, some African countries are in lockdown, while others implemented other measures to prevent the virus from spreading. Considering social distancing rules were implemented by most countries, it is unlikely that scenario A will happen.
